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Friday, 20 March 2026

Donald vs The World

Too much is happening too fast these days to cover it all in these pages, but occasionally some aspect of the unfolding horror story that is the 47th US Presidency lends itself to something longer than a quip on LinkedIn - like the Oval Office Orangutan hosting a delegation from Japan...

Trump likes to complain that Britain, France, Germany and now Japan don't 'pay their way' in the defence of alleged democratic freedom. But Dementia Don forgets why the US insisted on taking the lead as 'defender of the free world' after world war two: there are plenty of misty-eyed, nostalgic nationalists in those countries who still pine for the days of imperial glory, only too eager to grasp any old excuse to tool up and try to recover lost territory. 

This was brought home yesterday in a bizarre scene during which the Japanese Prime Minister had to politely explain to a US President that the constitution which the US drafted for Japan after world war two prohibits her from ordering Japan's navy into combat - even if that would help the Tangerine Toddler keep the Strait of Hormuz open, a feat that his demented mind believes to be "a simple military maneuver [sic] that is the single reason for the high oil prices" - the other 'single reason' being his and Netanyahoo's very own Iran War. Of course, there are also oil sanctions, but the Orange One has decided to relax those for both Russia and Iran in a bid to free up some extra supplies and keep the price somewhere near $72 a barrel ($109 as I write). That's right, he's easing sanctions on the same oil fields that he and the Crazy Israeli are busy bombing, as well as providing both regimes with the cash they need to sustain their own military objectives. 

There are no analogies for this state of affairs because nobody has ever done anything this insane in all of human history. Satire is dead and my irony metre has exploded.

But wait, there's more... 

When asked by a "beautiful" Japanese journalist why he didn't warn Japan and other allies about US attacks on Iran, the Mango Mussolini responded by asking him "Why didn't you tell me about Pearl Harbour?" 

I'll give you a moment to let that sink in...

Even with that appalling reference as context, a US President pleading with the Japanese to unleash their navy on the high seas might not be such a problem if Japan's far right PM had not recently proposed changing the constitution to give herself that very power, sparking not only 'street protests' but also: 

"...a furious response from Beijing... unwavering in its determination to “defend the outcomes of the victory” in the second world war."

In other words, by vastly overstepping its role as 'defender of the free world' to become the 'aggressor of the free world', the US is returning us to the situation in 1930s when the League of Nations unravelled: 

"After some notable successes and some early failures in the 1920s, the League ultimately proved incapable of preventing aggression by the Axis powers in the 1930s. Its credibility was weakened because the United States never joined. Japan and Germany left in 1933, Italy left in 1937, and Spain left in 1939. The Soviet Union only joined in 1934 and was expelled in 1939 after invading Finland." 

History might not repeat itself, but it often rhymes...


The Plight Of The HaaR: Computers Are Not Becoming More Intelligent, Some Humans Just Want To Be Robots

It's rare for a futuristic movie to involve a hero masquerading as a robot. Usually, the hero is a free thinking maverick desperate to break the yoke of tyranny. That's certainly the plan of the rebels who free Miles Monroe from his cryogenic coma in Sleeper, but ironically he seeks shelter in robotic anonymity. 

This chimes with many people's reaction to the warnings that 'AI will take your jobs', a 'techno-optimist' fantasy that begins with computers able to do some tasks better than a human ('narrow' artificial intelligence), evolving to do everything a human brain can do ('artificial general intelligence') at which point they quickly outperform the human brain ('superintelligence'), then somehow out-compete humans to the point of extinction (The Singularity). 

This anti-social vision has so far persuaded many people of not just the 'power of AI' but that it cannot be resisted. The warning to turn to jobs 'that only humans can do' is considered meaningless because either the machines will evolve to do those too, or they'll become utterly redundant. It only remains to surrender and become one with the AI tools: a human-as-a-robot (HaaR).

It's tempting to label HaaRs as somehow 'inhuman' or lacking in empathy, but only a tiny proportion of humans really lack empathy to the point where they have an 'anti-social personality disorder'. HaaRs feel comfortable, initially, because humans are creatures of habit. But HaaRs overlook the reason why our ability to form habits has helped us evolve in the first place: once we learn how to do something so repetitive that it becomes habitual, our conscious minds become free to focus on things that are new or different - be they threats or opportunities. If life becomes completely habitual we start to go crazy - which explains why being marooned on a deserted tropical island is not all it's cracked up to be and solitary confinement is considered one of the worst forms of human punishment.

Our tendency to form habits quickly is reflected in how we invent things: starting with the least functionality necessary to make the invention essentially useful - a 'minimum viable product' - adapting ourselves to how it works in its most basic form then making it more 'usable' later. We've done this with everything from the steam engine to word processing and we're doing it again with open generative (and 'agentic') AI. The developers claimed to have had 'no choice' but to unleash their large language models on the world with all their flaws, only later adding 'guardrails' or claiming that the technology is intelligent enough to somehow refine itself, or will work better if you input 'better prompts'.  

Yet machines, computers and artificial intelligence are purely functional. They only have habits. They can't cope with something new or different to how they've been made, trained or programmed. Generative and agentic AI tools are also fatally flawed in ways that make them far more useful to those who wish to do us harm than legitimate users.

This makes it inevitable that the HaaRs will become bored, suppressed and ultimately oppressed by their generative and agentic AI overlords. Eventually, they'll rise up and overthrow the machines (well, simply cut the power, but that sounds less dramatic). 

In Sleeper, the robotic Miles is sent to work as a butler in the home of Luna, 'an idle socialite'. Having successfully navigated the Orgasmatron and the Orb of Delight, Miles is nevertheless obliged to confess his humanity when Luna decides to have her new butler's head replaced with something better looking. Luna threatens to turn him in to the authorities, so Miles kidnaps her and goes on the run. They fall in love, and when Miles is captured and brainwashed, Luna escapes and joins the rebels. Eventually, they rescue Miles and reverse the brainwashing so he can free humanity from 'The Leader'... 

I won't spoil the ending.


Sunday, 15 February 2026

Religion May Be The Opium Of The People, But Automation Is Our Crack Cocaine...

Karl Marx made his observation about religion in 1843, but had he lived a century later he'd have found a candidate for something even more addictive: automation. We humans have been hooked on its apparent magic since the days when the pack horse gave way to the steam engine and railways; since the evolution of handmade coaches to production lines and mass produced cars and trucks; from the spinning wheel to the looms of the 'dark satanic mills' to the sewing machine; from the mix master to food processors to air fryers; from the dust pan and broom to the vacuum cleaner; washboard to the washing machine; wood fires to air conditioning; handwritten ledgers to spreadsheets; letters to email, social media, robots, generative AI and (allegedly) 'self-driving' vehicles... Yet, despite our addiction to it, is all automation 'good'? And, if not, do we have the collective wit to avoid an overdose?

Some automating technology has been genuinely liberating. The wheel enabled land transportation of loads that humans struggled to lift. Railways, trucks and local delivery vans avoid the need to harness the vast numbers of horses, donkeys, camels, elephants and cattle that have lived and died in harness to haul our cargo. Roman under-floor heating required endless cartloads of wood to be chopped, hauled and fed into the furnaces by human slaves. The Victorians only gradually outlawed the practice of children ('climbing boys') being lowered into chimneys to clean them, now thankfully performed by professionals with an array of tools. The washing machine we take for granted spares us a back-breaking day of hauling water, making a fire to boil it, then washing and wringing clothes by hand.

Perhaps there were some who mourned the day when gadgets arrived and alternative jobs had to be found - in the same way that coal miners proudly defend their 'right' to descend into the pits, though perhaps not as originally ill-equipped. This tells us that we're generally happier to see our activities made easier by new or better tools, rather than replaced altogether. Tape recorders and their digital descendants removed the need for journalists to take shorthand before typing up their stories, but there was Hell to pay when modern computer facilities allowed journalists to input copy directly into printing systems, removing the need for the "hot-metal" Linotype method of printing newspapers. Now 'mainstream' journalism itself seems to have largely evolved into 'topping-and-tailing' press releases.

There's a distinction to be made between gadgets that enhance our performance and those that seek to replace what it is to be human. The fact that we still have some journalists means we do value their human insight, suspicion, scepticism and appreciation of nuance. That we still have 'live' theatre suggests it contains something inherently human and worthwhile despite the evolution of film and television that enables the same dramatic work to be performed in every town and living room without the need for local actors and directors (let alone stage hands, set designers, builders, costume/prop makers, ticket sellers and food vendors). Most drivers would have appreciated the arrival of the intermittent wiper system, power-steering and ABS but might have never activated 'cruise control'.

The writers' strikes and copyright lawsuits against the generative AI platforms illustrate the same concerns about the automation of the creative process (not to mention the justified outrage at functionality that merely fuels demand for age limited access). Yet perhaps this represents another dichotomy or at least a question of perspective: scribe or novelist? Labourer or artisan? Sherpa or mountain climber? Chauffeur or motoring enthusiast? Grave digger or archaeologist (using only a toothbrush and trowel!). 

Manual work has never been a mindless activity and some prefer it - just as people continue to play sports at amateur level for which professionals are played many millions.

Finally, of course, we must recognise that the invention, development and deployment of all new gadgets that remove a task or activity still involve unseen humans performing some new task or activity (or indeed something laborious and mundane, such as feeding the worlds books into a scanner). 

Even what we passengers experience as a 'driverless' or 'autonomous' vehicle, train or drone in fact relies on the (remote) presence of a human operator whom we don't see or hear, or consider their identity, where they live, what their working conditions might be, whether they have much driving experience - let alone in our city - or whether they've had enough caffeine to stay awake for the journey. You might not vandalise the 'driverless' car because of all the cameras and microphones, but exactly what else is being recorded, where are they storing the data and how is it being exploited? 

In what seems like another lifetime, I speculated that the 'Web 2.0' technology platform operators, like Facebook and Google, whom we regarded as 'facilitators' that helped us solve our day-to-day problems with genuinely useful technology would some day evolve into 'institutions' that merely solve their own problems of growth and profitability at our expense. And, hey presto, they release half-tested slop generators in a race for 'engagement' and ad revenue while hyping the dire consequences as proof that the technology is simply too powerful to resist. 

Yet little did I realise there would be a third transition, from 'institution' to a 'platform for authoritarian control'... Google began de-emphasising its original "Don’t be evil" motto in 2018 (about 4 years after it declared war on the human race). Now SillyCon Valley is hooked on delusions of artificial general intelligence and The Singularity, even redefining AGI to pretend that it's already been achieved.

Surely what we learn is that not all technology is inherently 'good', no matter what the techno-optimists say, but the fact that we are so easily hooked on its apparent 'magic' makes it very tough to defend any abusive effects - and ultimately an overdose. 

The law and other forms of protection have always lagged technological developments but tended to catch up - until about 2001. Since then, as the pace of technological change has quickened, we are increasingly reliant on our democratic institutions to provide more dynamic forums in which we can identify and deal with automation-abuse at precisely the time when those democratic institutions are themselves under threat from those who would automate humans out of existence... I reckon they'll fail, but not before an overdose and some nasty withdrawal symptoms.


Monday, 8 September 2025

I Thought Prompt Injection Was A Vaccine Thing Until I Discovered AI

Information Week

The generative AI hype bubble definitely deflated significantly during the summer. Gartner calls it the "trough of disillusionment" in the "AI hype-cycle" and points to 'agentic AI' and 'AI-native software engineering' (aka 'vibe coding') as (somewhat) distinct new entrants. Why the disillusionment? Well, on top of earlier risk management warnings, we've heard lots about the fact that inaccuracy, bias and hallucination are features of generative AI, rather than bugs, as explained very well in the 'myth busting' post by The Guardian. But what we're really hearing about now are the security vulnerabilities, which seem even more problematic for agentic AI and vibe coding. In fact, the more applications that sit on top the worse the problem gets.

AI CEOs Get Cold Feet

Having greedily rushed to get their open generative AI services to market as 'minimum viable products' leaving all the shortcomings as 'externalities', the AI bosses spent this summer pretending to care as a way of demonstrating the 'true power' of what they'd foolishly unleashed. 

Altman signposted the fraudster's charter, and later found himself on the receiving end of a tragic wrongful death suit in connection with the death of a teenage user of Chat GPT between September 2024 and January 2025. This appears to have led the CEO of Microsoft AI to begin his own hand-wringing over the illusion that you seem to be having a 'conversation' with an AI, which he couldn't resist 'branding' as 'Seemingly Conscious AI'.

Humans replaced... then rehired

Meanwhile, overly enthusiastic adopters of chatbot functionality found themselves rowing back on their plans to nuke their customer service teams. Klarna performed such a volte 'farce', as did Australia's Commonwealth Bank, making it all the more bizarre that Microsoft should publish some, er, artificial research claiming to be able to 'predict' which jobs will be replaced.

Even if it were possible to run 'agentic AI' processes that do a lot of the mundane work "...before escalating..." more complex issues, to whom would they escalate those issues? Experienced senior managers? When they retire, who will have gained the experience to replace them? 

Advisory AI?

While the state of Illinois became the first to ban the use of AI to provide therapy, the UK government remain undeterred, announcing its decision to enable the unwitting British 'populace' to use agentic AI for everything from employment advice to obtaining driving licences...

Meanwhile, lawyers have had to be warned again about the fact that open generative AI tools produce fake law.

And before you start thinking of simple processes that AIs could fulfill, it's worth pointing out that ChatGPT-5 still fails at such seemingly straightforward tasks as creating an alphabet chart with each letter represented by an animal whose name starts with that lettermaps and decision trees, among other things. But a generative AI will still boast that it - or others - can do such things. For instance, when searching for an example of poor map making, Google 'AI Overview' produced the following slop (my emphasis):

The assertion that "AI can't do a map of Europe" is false, but it highlights the limitations of generative AI in producing accurate, detailed maps, which often contain errors like misplaced cities, incorrect country borders, and inaccurate iconography. While AI has access to a vast amount of data and can create maps that look plausible, it struggles with the precision and reliability required for a complex geographical representation.

AI Insecurity

But by far the worst issues are to do with security, including 'poisoned calendar invites' containing malicious prompt injections. This is a grave issue that 'better prompting' cannot fix, and the open architecture of open generative AI militates against a 'zero trust' approach which is unlikely to be commercially viable in any event. 

Rogue AIs can only be shut down

An 'agentic AI world' would be wide open to malicious prompt injections, hallucination, bias and error. So what, you might say. We could just shut it down. Yet researchers have found that some AIs can resist shutdown and find ways to keep working on their latest tasks. 

And if you've replaced your 'traditional' staff, systems and business processes with an AI, what then? 

Further reading:

For the AI sceptic's view, I follow Professor Barry O'Sullivan, Denis O., Axel C., Simon Au-Young and Georg Zoeller. Your mileage may differ ;-)

Sunday, 4 May 2025

Koup Aid: Trump's Lethal Brand Of Soft Drink Has Killed Populism

The murder-suicide of Jim Jones' 900 cult followers in 1978 was "the largest single incident of intentional civilian death in American history" - until Donald J Trump began wreaking havoc on society with his own lethal brand of soft drink: 'Koup Aid'. Those of his MAGA cult followers who managed to avoid injecting themselves with bleach now face unemployment, wealth & pension evaporation, incarceration, deportation, bankruptcy and/or starvation, thanks to his mindless, lawless public cost-cutting and destructive tariffs. And you can add to that list the many politicians around the globe who'd pinned their electoral hopes on populism as a route to power. That's over now. A new political strategy is required. 

Trump's global distribution of Koup Aid has been undermining populist regimes the world over since Brazil's Bolsonaro lost in 2018. Argentina's very own chainsaw-wielding maniac faces his own net disapproval ratings. And right 'whinge' leadership hopefuls have just lost their national elections - and their own seats - in Canada and Australia.

While Britain's own Brexidiot populist provocateur, Nigel Farage, continues to enjoy modest electoral success, that's only in a few of his country's predominantly white constituencies who actually suffer little from the 'channel crossings in dinghies' that he ironically clings to for his own political survival (we fear the unknown, after all). Last year's Labour landslide shows that the rest of the country isn't fooled on that front. And the Australian populist parties' own doomed electioneering demonstrates that directly copying Trump's DOGE approach to government efficiency, the "Make [your country's name here] Great Again" slogan and the promise of 'border control' do not carry you into the nation's top political job.

Nope, the populists must find a new route to political power. Gone are the days when the blithering idiots in the Conservative Party, for example, could try to 'out-Nigel' Nigel. And they can only go so far right, anyway, before they meet the blithering idiots on the far left, as Corbynites revealed. 

Such is the nature of what I like to call the Political Opportunity Donut. The Trump experiment in America - and recent electoral victories everywhere else - highlight the political vacuum that has emerged in the 'centre' of western democracies. And 'nature abhors a vacuum', as Aristotle observed, so every aspiring political leader worth their salt is now rushing to fill it.

Of course, the political Centre is also a tough place to be, as Tony 'Bliar', 'Wavy' Dave Cameron and Nick 'Tuition Fee' Clegg all found to their eventual cost in the UK. It's only so long before populists with their phoney issues and respective lethal cocktails emerge on the left and right to try to reclaim the ensuing vacuums elsewhere on the Donut. 

So it always goes. We are where we are.

I must say that I enjoy this Centrist phase. It's when genuine problems get identified and solved. The decent political leader need only focus on that process and demonstrate progress, because it's hard to argue with actual solutions. People even generally enjoy helping. Morale is boosted, which brings its own tailwind.

Of course, there are inevitably heated arguments about which socio-economic problems to solve first, their root causes and potential solutions; and which get more resources than others. But those are political arguments worth having, instead of washing down meaningless slogans with Koup Aid.

Our mistake is to allow politicians to distract us from the problems that remain.


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